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pedro


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RE: and yet another trial
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pedro wrote:

busy today

 

a poor day but did manage a profit on betfair by laying all at 1.4 ir to double my stake...things can only get better

 

clear top rated

 

itoldyou...100 newb...67/22...32.8%...7/2 bv...2nd 6.56...matched at 1.4 ir

somchine...145 taunt...2/0...0%...7/2 365...unp 6

cloudy spirit...220 taunt...1/0...0%...evens bv...unp 1.58...matched at 1.2 ir

rouquine sauvage...230 taunt...13/5...38.4%...5/4 boyles...2nd 2.85...matched at 1.4 ir

floral spinner...255 taunt...10/4...40%...9/2 365...1st 7.20

daneking...315 newb...70/24...34.2%...9/2 bv...unp 5.56

quantum dot...355 kemp...33/12...36.3%...9/4 boyles...unp 3.82

plucky dip...725 kemp...3/0...0%...2/1 tote...3rd 2.12

 

no top rated v

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Thursday 27th of November 2014 10:05:24 AM

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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have gathered evidence that my first tweak was premature regarding field size...so no limits here for now...leaves us with plenty today and to make matters worse am adding what i will call strongly fancied...have i gone mad confuse

 

clear top rated

 

fergal mael duin 12.15 donc...124/40...32.2%...4/1 365

things change...110 muss...16/6...37.5%...7/2 bv

midnight oscar...130 newb...57/19...33.3%...25/1 sj

un anjou...220 muss...56/19...33.9%...5/1 sj

big water...230 donc...33/13...39.3%...9/4 skyb

sound investment...240 newb...82/28...34.1%...5/1 bv

claude carter...255 muss...13/5...38.4%...5/1 bv

the kvilleken...305 donc...16/5...31.25%...11/4 sj

kagree...655 wolv...27/9...33.3%...11/2bv

 

strongly fancied

 

orbys man... 155 donc...10/4...40%...6/1 sj

frozen princess... 355 wolv...29/9...31%...3/1 boyles

invincible ridge...425 wolv...37/12...32.4%...3/1 bv

smokethatthunders... 625 wolv...21/9...42.8%

 

pedro

 

 



-- Edited by pedro on Friday 28th of November 2014 10:25:38 AM

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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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pedro wrote:

have gathered evidence that my first tweak was premature regarding field size...so no limits here for now...leaves us with plenty today and to make matters worse am adding what i will call strongly fancied...have i gone mad confuse

 

another poor day despite a couple of nearlys...better with the bookie but still a loss recorded no

 

clear top rated

 

fergal mael duin 12.15 donc...124/40...32.2%...4/1 365...unp 3.63

things change...110 muss...16/6...37.5%...7/2 bv...unp 3.50

midnight oscar...130 newb...57/19...33.3%...25/1 sj...unp 25

un anjou...220 muss...56/19...33.9%...5/1 sj...1st 5.85

big water...230 donc...33/13...39.3%...9/4 skyb...unp 2.55

sound investment...240 newb...82/28...34.1%...5/1 bv...2nd 9.4

claude carter...255 muss...13/5...38.4%...5/1 bv...2nd 9.20

the kvilleken...305 donc...16/5...31.25%...11/4 sj...3rd 11.5

kagree...655 wolv...27/9...33.3%...11/2bv...unp 11

 

strongly fancied

 

orbys man... 155 donc...10/4...40%...6/1 sj...unp 8.22

frozen princess... 355 wolv...29/9...31%...3/1 boyles...unp 3.38

invincible ridge...425 wolv...37/12...32.4%...3/1 bv...1st 2.46...huge gamble landed

smokethatthunders... 625 wolv...21/9...42.8%...2nd 4.97

 

pedro

 

 



-- Edited by pedro on Friday 28th of November 2014 10:25:38 AM

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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todays lot

 

clear top rated

 

turn over sivola...1250 nb...17/6...35.2%...6/1 bv

azure fly...130 bang...56/19...33.9%...10/1 sj

germany calling...150 nb...68/22...32.3%...22/1 sj

volcanic...235 bang...5/2...40%...9/2 coral

lord lir...250 tow...2/0...0%...3/1 bv

san quentin...915 wolv...49/15...30.6%...4/1 bv

 

strongly fancied

 

earth drummer...615 wolv...26/8...30.7%...7/2 bv

 

pedro

 



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 29th of November 2014 10:09:16 AM

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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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yikes!!!! missed a top rated v...got delayed shopping and thought i would be back in plenty time to check the prices....grrrrrrrrrrrrr!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

14:40 Newc Chase - Handicap - Listed - Distance:5280Yds Runners:9 () Class: 1
NoRunnerRatingScore
(max 15)		Early BSP RankEarly BSP
1Hey Big Spender133.7968.4
2Vintage Star115.8857.6
3Indian Castle130727.2
4Victors Serenade0.9537.6
5Fentara-42.14921
6Lie Forrit-12.8447.6
7Broadway Buffalo36.8616
8Tutchec1.6678.8
9Mister Grez36820

QUICK RESULT Full result to follow...

Pos(Draw) DistHorseAgeWgt(OR)EqJockeyTrainerBSP/ISP(+/-)Place
100061239.jpg Hey Big Spender (IRE)1111-12 tBrendan Powell Colin Tizzard15.59 / 13 (15%)3.7
200069683.jpg Lie Forrit (IRE)1010-13 -Peter Buchanan Lucinda Russell9.27 / 9 (-2%)2.74
300004175.jpg Vintage Star (IRE)811-9 -James Reveley Sue Smith9 / 8 (9%)2.5
400042974.jpg Tutchec (FR)710-10 -Brian Harding Nicky Richards8.51 / 8 (2%)3


-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 29th of November 2014 03:03:23 PM

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pedro


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pedro wrote:

todays lot

 

am still seething at a missed opportunity but can only blame myself for not being aware of the time of day...missed the boat by a minute or two at the most and sod has the last laugh once again...as it goes the rest of the day goes as sod would have it no

 

clear top rated

 

turn over sivola...1250 nb...17/6...35.2%...6/1 bv...unp 15.88

azure fly...130 bang...56/19...33.9%...10/1 sj...2nd 5.5...gamble not landed

germany calling...150 nb...68/22...32.3%...22/1 sj...unp 10.6...another not landed

volcanic...235 bang...5/2...40%...9/2 coral...unp 11.57

lord lir...250 tow...2/0...0%...3/1 bv...non runner

san quentin...915 wolv...49/15...30.6%...4/1 bv...2nd 3.5...and yet another not landed

 

strongly fancied

 

earth drummer...615 wolv...26/8...30.7%...7/2 bv...3rd 3.28

 

wheres me bloody pillow confuse

 

pedro

 



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 29th of November 2014 10:09:16 AM

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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sundays lot

 

clear top rated

 

un guet apens...1220 carl...22/9...40.9%...8/1 bf

the ould lad...145 leic...127/39...30.7%...9/4 wh

rock on ruby...215 leic...15/7...46.6%...4/1 bv

spanish fleet...225 carl...11/5...45.4%...5/2 coral

madame lilibet...330 carl...34/14...41.1%...2/1 bv

 

possible top rated v if 10-25 bfsp

 

alpha victor...300 carl

 

pedro

 



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pedro


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pedro wrote:

sundays lot

 

so nearly a full house today biggrin

 

clear top rated

 

un guet apens...1220 carl...22/9...40.9%...8/1 bf...2nd 9.99...btn sh

the ould lad...145 leic...127/39...30.7%...9/4 wh...1st 3.55

rock on rocky...215 leic...15/7...46.6%...4/1 bv...1st 8.49

spanish fleet...225 carl...11/5...45.4%...5/2 coral...1st 2.98

madame lilibet...330 carl...34/14...41.1%...2/1 bv...1st 2.83

 

possible top rated v if 10-25 bfsp

 

alpha victor...300 carl...no bet...too short

 

pedro

 

 



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pedro


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a new month and a slightly different approach from today....after 6 weeks have learned a lot...just over 90pt up over the period with plenty of mistakes made too...tightening
things up today and should be a move in the right direction...will be concentrating on the clear top rated that have a historical
strike rate of 36% plus over the past 3 months (a favorites chance but not at a favorites price most of the time if you know
what i mean)...paper trial on this looks real good...also will stick with the top rated v...be doing p/l weekly and also by the month

 

pedro



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pedro


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not so busy today

 

clear top rated

 

head spin 210 plump...8/3...37.5%...9/4 bv

biting bullets 320 kemp...2/1...50%...5/2 bv

 

no top rated v just yet but will check this afternoon for any drifters in the market

 

pedro



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pedro


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2 possible top rated v...one due to a non runner

 

10 to 25 bfsp only

 

lord brentwood 240 plum

el mirage 450 kemp

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Monday 1st of December 2014 01:38:34 PM

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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
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pedro wrote:

not so busy today

 

decent start to the month here biggrin

 

clear top rated

 

head spin 210 plump...8/3...37.5%...9/4 bv...1st 3.36

biting bullets 320 kemp...2/1...50%...5/2 bv...1st 2.28...huge gamble landed

 

10 to 25 bfsp only

 

lord brentwood 240 plum...unp 18.2

el mirage 450 kemp...no bet...too short

 

pedro

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
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just one today and some possible v

 

clear top rated

 

pixie cut 300 sedge...12/5...41.6%...5/1 bv

 

possible top rated v

 

harangue 1215 south

helium 200 sedge

amazing scenes 250 south

 

pedro



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
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pedro wrote:

just one today and some possible v...to save time watching the markets on top rated v have decided to back all top rated available at 10/1 or better 1/2 pt ew with the bookie offering the best odds with best odds guaranteed...the selection must have a better than 30% historical strike rate

 

clear top rated

 

pixie cut 300 sedge...12/5...41.6%...5/1 bv

 

possible top rated v

 

harangue 1215 south...39.1%...11/1 bv

helium 200 sedge...35.4%...10/1 bv

amazing scenes 250 south...32.4%...12/1 boyles

 

pedro

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
Date:
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pedro wrote:
pedro wrote:

just one today and some possible v...to save time watching the markets on top rated v have decided to back all top rated available at 10/1 or better 1/2 pt ew with the bookie offering the best odds with best odds guaranteed...the selection must have a better than 30% historical strike rate

 

a good day with a nice top rated v biggrin

 

clear top rated

 

pixie cut 300 sedge...12/5...41.6%...5/1 bv...unp

 

top rated v

 

harangue 1215 south...39.1%...11/1 bv...1st 14/1...16.65 bfsp

helium 200 sedge...35.4%...10/1 bv...unp...12.54

amazing scenes 250 south...32.4%...12/1 boyles...unp 12.98

 

pedro

 

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
Date:
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todays lot

 

clear top rated

 

pass the time...140 lud...8/3...37.5%...5/2 bv

churchfield champ...250 catt...27/11...40.7%...10/1 skyb

miss lucky penny...310 lud...18/7...38.8%...9/2 skyb

 

top rated v...further research says 25%+ strike rate is ok

 

oyster shell...240 lud...29.2 %...20/1 boyles

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Wednesday 3rd of December 2014 09:34:25 AM

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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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pedro wrote:

todays lot

 

another decent day biggrin

 

clear top rated

 

pass the time...140 lud...8/3...37.5%...5/2 bv...1st 2.71...gamble landed

churchfield champ...250 catt...27/11...40.7%...10/1 skyb...unp...yikes led at the last...9.88

miss lucky penny...310 lud...18/7...38.8%...9/2 skyb...non runner

 

top rated v...further research says 25%+ strike rate is ok

 

oyster shell...240 lud...29.2 %...20/1 boyles...2nd 14/1...18.85 bfsp...ep beats them both...ew gamble landed

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Wednesday 3rd of December 2014 09:34:25 AM

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
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missed a top rated v yesterday due to a late non runner grrrrr...need to get more on the ball with these no

 

clear top rated

 

lumpys gold...145 winc...9/4...44.4%...11/2 sj

experimentalist...225 mr...10/4...40%...16/1 bv

asuncion...235 leic...40/18...45%....13/2 sj

grand gigolo...300 mr...1/1...100%...10/11 bv

make me a fortune...330 ayr...23/11...47.8%...11/4 wh

searchlight...515 kemp...44/16...36.3%...5/2 bv

vaguely spanish...645 kemp...9/4...44.4%...11/8 sj

 

no top rated v barring any late nrs

 

pedro



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Date:
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pedro wrote:

missed a top rated v yesterday due to a late non runner grrrrr...need to get more on the ball with these no

 

a poor day with just the one gambled on winner...some compo here as managed to lay a couple of them off at 1.2...better luck tomorrow ???

 

clear top rated

 

lumpys gold...145 winc...9/4...44.4%...11/2 sj...unp 4.34

experimentalist...225 mr...10/4...40%...16/1 bv...unp 15.51

asuncion...235 leic...40/18...45%....13/2 sj...unp 6.65

grand gigolo...300 mr...1/1...100%...10/11 bv...unp 2.06

make me a fortune...330 ayr...23/11...47.8%...11/4 wh...1st 2.53...gamble landed

searchlight...515 kemp...44/16...36.3%...5/2 bv...unp 2.52

vaguely spanish...645 kemp...9/4...44.4%...11/8 sj...2nd 2.08

 

no top rated v barring any late nrs

 

pedro

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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fridays plays

 

clear top rated

 

positive vibes...1240 exet...51/20...39.2%...4/1 sj

planetoid...100 ling...27/10...37.03%...9/4 sj

shotgun start...400 wolv...1/1...100%...5/4 bv

zac brown...500 wolv...3/2...66.6%...2/1 skyb

 

top rated v

 

umberto d' olivate...140 exet...27%...12/1 sj

jayo time...330 sand...41.3%...11/1 skyb

 

pedro

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
Date:
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pedro wrote:

fridays plays

plenty top rated winners on the site today but only higlighted one here

 

clear top rated

 

positive vibes...1240 exet...51/20...39.2%...4/1 sj...2nd 5.2...profit on race with back to lay

planetoid...100 ling...27/10...37.03%...9/4 sj...1st 5.36

shotgun start...400 wolv...1/1...100%...5/4 bv...3rd 2.28

zac brown...500 wolv...3/2...66.6%...2/1 skyb...unp 3.15

 

top rated v

 

umberto d' olivate...140 exet...27%...12/1 sj...unp 9.36

jayo time...330 sand...41.3%...11/1 skyb...unp 11.88

 

pedro

 

 



-- Edited by pedro on Friday 5th of December 2014 08:29:04 PM

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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
Date:
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saturdays selections

 

clear top rated

 

lord protector 200 chep...19/8...42.1%...3/1 bv

fisher 215 weth...3/2...66%...11/4 lads

dormello 225 sand...54/22...40.7%...7/2 bv

zalgarry 235 chep...48/19...39.5%...7/1 bv

 

been missing a good few winners by not including those with an historical strike rate of 60% or better albeit the strike rate over past 3 months has been below 36%...so

 

guiding george 110 weth...30%...5/2 bv

personal opinion 815 wolv...27.2%...6/4 bv

 

top rated v

 

azza 1250 sand...27%...12/1 bv

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 6th of December 2014 10:55:51 AM

__________________

when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
Date:
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pedro wrote:

saturdays selections

 

an ouch day on the thread with a couple of back to lays easing the pain...but only just

 

clear top rated

 

lord protector 200 chep...19/8...42.1%...3/1 bv...3rd 3.65

fisher 215 weth...3/2...66%...11/4 lads...2nd 3.66

dormello 225 sand...54/22...40.7%...7/2 bv...unp 4.92

zalgarry 235 chep...48/19...39.5%...7/1 bv...2nd 10 btn hd...profit with back to lay

 

been missing a good few winners by not including those with an historical strike rate of 60% or better albeit the strike rate over past 3 months has been below 36%...so

 

guiding george 110 weth...30%...5/2 bv...2nd 3.8...profit with back to lay

personal opinion 815 wolv...27.2%...6/4 bv...2nd 2.49

 

top rated v

 

azza 1250 sand...27%...12/1 bv...pu 33.87

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 6th of December 2014 10:55:51 AM

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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quiet day here...be doing a p/l later on what has turned out another tough week

 

60% + historical strike rate

kapricorne 320 kelso...33.3%...7/2 bv

 

top rated v

teo vivo 120 kelso...10.5 bet fair



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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Posts: 2399
Date:
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pedro wrote:

quiet day here...be doing a p/l later on what has turned out another tough week

 

week saved by a nice v winner biggrin...stats to follow

 

60% + historical strike rate

kapricorne 320 kelso...33.3%...7/2 bv...2nd 3.95

 

top rated v

teo vivo 120 kelso...10.5 bet fair...1st 11

 



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