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pedro


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RE: and yet another trial
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pedro wrote:

todays lot

 

another poor day with just the one winner no...stats to follow

 

clear top rated

kings apollo 145 leic...56/23...41%...6/1 skyb...2nd 4.27

spartilla 300 plum...46/16...34.7%...9/2 bv...pulled up 5.3

little jimmy 320 leic...3/1...33%...9/4 bv...unplaced 5

little boy boru 330 plum...29/12...41.3%...2/1 coral...1st 2.63

sioux chieftan 540 wolv...58/16...27.5%...9/4 bv...2nd 2.46

 

top rated with a better than 50% sr over 10 months

dreese 440 wolv...34/14...41.1%...4/1 bv...unplaced 5.40...missed break

 

possible top rated v if 10 to 25 bfsp

 

dormouse 220 leic...no bet 9.2...too short

lady bingo 310 wolv...no bet 6.14...too short

 

pedro

 



-- Edited by pedro on Monday 17th of November 2014 09:31:42 AM

 



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pedro


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not the best of weeks and missed a couple of nice touches at 1.1 or less in running...we had a losing sequence of 13 selections beating the previous losing run of 9...not all doom and gloom though as still in profit on the week and a very satisfactory p/l at the end of 4 weeks trial...bring on week 5

 

week 4 stats

63 selects...16 won...25.39%...lsp...+8.18 pt at bfsp...no deduction

 

so far

205 selects...63 won...30.73%...lsp...+96.38 pt at bfsp...no deduction

 

pedro

 

 



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pedro


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todays lot...

 

all clear top rated

 

fire in babylon 1210 south...69/20...28.9%...3/1 sj

air of york 1240 south...13/4...30.7%...7/1 coral

musical molly 110 south...35/11...31.4%...7/2 365

best tamayuz 140 south...20/6...30%...3/1 lads

nellie the elegant 200 fake...21/11...52.3%...4/1 boyles

 

possible top rated v 10-25 bfsp

sam spade 340 south

 

pedro



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pedro


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pedro wrote:

todays lot...

a tad disapointed today with just the one winner and 2 going down when very low in running...better tomorrow

 

all clear top rated

 

fire in babylon 1210 south...69/20...28.9%...3/1 sj...2nd 6...btn nk no

air of york 1240 south...13/4...30.7%...7/1 coral...unplaced 12

musical molly 110 south...35/11...31.4%...7/2 365...2nd 3.98...btn hd no

best tamayuz 140 south...20/6...30%...3/1 lads...1st 3.41

nellie the elegant 200 fake...21/11...52.3%...4/1 boyles...3rd 7.99

 

possible top rated v 10-25 bfsp

sam spade 340 south...unplaced

 

pedro

 



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pedro


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as if we don't have enough here to keep us busy have noted on many occasions that when the ratings have the top 2 rated at least 50 pt clear of the 3rd rated we very often get the forecast up...this happened twice today from 3 plays...will be including these on the thread for closer scrutiny

 

12:50 Donc Chase - Handicap - Distance:5280Yds Runners:5 () Class: 4
NoRunnerRatingScore
(max 15)		Early BSP RankEarly BSP
1Guiding George127.3712.28
4Carli King155.2823.65
2Iona Days67.5535.8
3Harris64.1649.2
5Polarbrook58.375

13.5

13:30 Fake Chase - Handicap - Mares - Distance:5390Yds Runners:4 () Class: 4
NoRunnerRatingScore
(max 15)		Early BSP RankEarly BSP
4Southway Star191.4612.58
1Jewellery226.6823.8
2Tea Caddy66.7633.85
3Legendary Hop61.1649.2


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pedro


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adding number of declared runners to the stats today...as it makes sense the less runners the better our chances

 

clear top rated

 

halo moon 1240 warw...25/10...40%...10 run...10/1 bv

houndscourt 1250 hex...3/2...66%...4 run...9/4 coral

silverdragon 150 hex...3/1...33%...5 run...3/1 skyb

voyage a new york 320 hex...9/4...44.4%...11 run...3/1 bv

leonard thomas 350 kemp...21/7...33%...14 run...15/8 bv

desert snow 655 kemp...8/3...37.5%...6 run...13/8 sj

 

top rated with a 50% + sr over 10 months

 

eatsleepracerepeat 1200 ling...16/6...37.5%...9 run...11/4 skyb

mon cigar 130 ling...40/12...30%...11 run...5/2 bv

pat mustard 425 kemp...7/2...28.5%...14 run...4/1 bv

 

no top rated v today

 

a trial on reverse f/c with top 2 rated at least 50 point clear of the 3rd rated

 

hounds court/ strike fast 1250 hex

birthday guest/ allez cool 220 hex

voyage a new york/ tikkandemickey 320 hex

 

pedro

 



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pedro


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pedro wrote:

adding number of declared runners to the stats today...as it makes sense the less runners the better our chances

 

yikes what a horrible day...worst day yet recorded...fingers crossed for no more of this plz no

 

clear top rated

 

halo moon 1240 warw...25/10...40%...10 run...10/1 bv...unplaced 12.5

houndscourt 1250 hex...3/2...66%...4 run...9/4 coral...pulled up 3.42

silverdragon 150 hex...3/1...33%...5 run...3/1 skyb...2nd 3.68

voyage a new york 320 hex...9/4...44.4%...11 run...3/1 bv...unplaced 6.69

leonard thomas 350 kemp...21/7...33%...14 run...15/8 bv...unplaced 3.4

desert snow 655 kemp...8/3...37.5%...6 run...13/8 sj...1st 2.03...gamble landed

 

top rated with a 50% + sr over 10 months

 

eatsleepracerepeat 1200 ling...16/6...37.5%...9 run...11/4 skyb...unplaced 4.3

mon cigar 130 ling...40/12...30%...11 run...5/2 bv...2nd 3.85

pat mustard 425 kemp...7/2...28.5%...14 run...4/1 bv...unplaced 3.8

 

no top rated v today

 

a trial on reverse f/c with top 2 rated at least 50 point clear of the 3rd rated

 

hounds court/ strike fast 1250 hex...lost

birthday guest/ allez cool 220 hex...lost

voyage a new york/ tikkandemickey 320 hex...lost

 

pedro

 

 



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pedro


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the first tweak to the trial...from today will be playing 9 declared runners or less on the nh and 11 declared runners or less on the aw...top rated v remain unchanged...this should make a big improvement to long term profit and loss

 

clear top rated

 

annaluna 110 chep...6/2...33.3%...13/8 sj

un anjou 120 winc...2/1...50%...5/1 bv

henryville 205 mr...8/3...37.5%...7/4 bv

steel summit 215 chep...10/5...50%...11/4 bv

dunlough boy 240 mr...10/3...30%...5/2 bv

johns luck 250 chep...18/9...50%...11/8 sj

according to sarah 300 winc...54/23...42.5%...7/2 bv

chetan 440 kemp...9/3...33.3%...7/4 coral

lyfka 510 kemp...1/0...0%...11/10 bv

 

top rated with a better than 50% sr over 10 months

 

solidarity 540 kemp...34/13...38.2%...9/4 coral

 

possible top rated v...10 to 25 bfsp

 

sadma 1250 winc

flaming charmer 140 chep

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Thursday 20th of November 2014 09:58:18 AM

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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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pedro wrote:

the first tweak to the trial...from today will be playing 9 declared runners or less on the nh and 11 declared runners or less on the aw...top rated v remain unchanged...this should make a big improvement to long term profit and loss

 

early results were saying another day of doom and gloom but in the end it was a small loss at bfsp and a small profit at best odds guaranteed..been a tough 10 days or so here but no real damage done...have every faith that things will turn our way again...when is the question but i feel it will be sooner rather than later biggrin

 

clear top rated

 

annaluna 110 chep...6/2...33.3%...13/8 sj...unp 2.38

un anjou 120 winc...2/1...50%...5/1 bv...unp 8.4

henryville 205 mr...8/3...37.5%...7/4 bv...unp 3.79

steel summit 215 chep...10/5...50%...11/4 bv...unp 3.79

dunlough boy 240 mr...10/3...30%...5/2 bv...1st 3.37

johns luck 250 chep...18/9...50%...11/8 sj...2.42

according to sarah 300 winc...54/23...42.5%...7/2 bv...pu 6.2

chetan 440 kemp...9/3...33.3%...7/4 coral...1st 2.29

lyfka 510 kemp...1/0...0%...11/10 bv...unp 2.09

 

top rated with a better than 50% sr over 10 months

 

solidarity 540 kemp...34/13...38.2%...9/4 coral...1st 2.92

 

possible top rated v...10 to 25 bfsp

 

sadma 1250 winc...unp 11.5

flaming charmer 140 chep...no bet pu 5.8

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Thursday 20th of November 2014 09:58:18 AM

 



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pedro


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todays lot

 

clear top rated

 

firebird flyer 250 ff...2/0...0%...9/2 bv

 

top rated that have a better than 50% sr over 10 months

 

trillerin minella 140 ff...1/0...0%...2/1 bv

city of angkor wat 620 wolv...21/7...33.3%...9/2 boyles

lola montez 650 wolv...37/11...29.7%...11/2 bv

 

possible top rated v

 

playhara 1250 hay

drumshambo 240 ascot

flying cape 515 wolv

 

pedro



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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pedro wrote:

todays lot

 

2 huge gambles today...one landed and one not but only just

 

clear top rated

 

firebird flyer 250 ff...2/0...0%...9/2 bv...1st 3.59...gamb;e landed

 

top rated that have a better than 50% sr over 10 months

 

trillerin minella 140 ff...1/0...0%...2/1 bv...unp 4

city of angkor wat 620 wolv...21/7...33.3%...9/2 boyles...2nd 3.08...gamble not landed

lola montez 650 wolv...37/11...29.7%...11/2 bv...unp 6.30

 

possible top rated v

 

playhara 1250 hay...unp 20

drumshambo 240 ascot...3rd 11.00

flying cape 515 wolv...unp 12

 

pedro

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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todays lot

 

clear top rated

 

lightning rod... 1210 hay...66/23...34.8%...10/3 bv

cloonacool...1235 hunt...2/0...0%...11/4 sj

bullet street...100 asc...9/3...33.3%...10/1 bv

spinning cobblers...200 ling...5/1...20%...6/4 bv

aberjam...250 hunt...42/16... 38.09%...7/2

 

top rated 50% + sr over 10 months

 

khelac 140 hunt...41/15....36.5%...16/1 bv

santa teresa...235 ling...13/3...23.07%...3/1 sj

low cut affair...645 wolv...13/4...30.7%...12/1 bv

 

possible top rated v

 

lyvius 115 hay

hi note 130 asc

oscar rock 225 hay

shotavodka 335 hay

lacey 815 wolv

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 22nd of November 2014 09:46:22 AM

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pedro


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non runner in the 1210 means a new clear top rated enters calculations

 

vasco du ronceray 1210 haydock...119/34...28.5%...5/2 sj



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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pedro wrote:

todays lot

 

decent day with the clear top rated going well biggrin

 

clear top rated

 

lightning rod... 1210 hay...66/23...34.8%...10/3 bv...non runner

cloonacool...1235 hunt...2/0...0%...11/4 sj...1st 4.2

bullet street...100 asc...9/3...33.3%...10/1 bv...unplaced 17

spinning cobblers...200 ling...5/1...20%...6/4 bv...1st 2.24

aberjam...250 hunt...42/16... 38.09%...7/2...1st 4.9

vasco du ronceray 1210 haydock...119/34...28.5%...5/2 sj...1st 3.28

 

top rated 50% + sr over 10 months

 

khelac 140 hunt...41/15....36.5%...16/1 bv...unp 24

santa teresa...235 ling...13/3...23.07%...3/1 sj...unp 3.18

low cut affair...645 wolv...13/4...30.7%...12/1 bv...unp 37.5

 

possible top rated v

 

lyvius 115 hay...unp 24.02

hi note 130 asc...no bet...too short

oscar rock 225 hay...unp 16.01

shotavodka 335 hay...no bet...to short

lacey 815 wolv...2nd 12

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 22nd of November 2014 09:46:22 AM

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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todays lot

 

clear top rated

 

le grand chene 115 tow...50/18...36%...15/8 bv

upepito 305 exet...24/9...37.5%...2/1 bv

piano concerto 405 exet...116/36...31%...9/1 bv

 

top rated with 50% + sr over 10 months

 

unefille de guye 105 exet...18/8...44.4%...11/2 bv

 

possible top rated v

 

russe blanc 205 exet

lock towers 245 tow

 

pedro



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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pedro wrote:

todays lot

 

nowt down on a very soggy sunday here...top rated v had a winner that hit 210 in the run...nice if you can get it but no bet here

 

clear top rated

 

le grand chene 115 tow...50/18...36%...15/8 bv...unp 4.73

upepito 305 exet...24/9...37.5%...2/1 bv...unp 4.24

piano concerto 405 exet...116/36...31%...9/1 bv...unp 9.60

 

top rated with 50% + sr over 10 months

 

unefille de guye 105 exet...18/8...44.4%...11/2 bv...3rd 5.4

 

possible top rated v

 

russe blanc 205 exet...1st 7.4...210 in running...no bet too short

lock towers 245 tow...2nd 15.5

 

pedro

 



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pedro


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after more research am including up to 12 declared runners on the aw...update of stats this evening

 

clear top rated

 

letemgo 135 kemp...26/13...50%...4/1 bv

king edmund 245 kemp...23/9...39.1%...5/1 bv

 

top rated with a 50%+ sr over 10 months

 

rockaroundtheclock...305 wolv...12/3...25%...10/1 bv

alba verde 335 wolv...13/4...30.7%...7/4 boyles

germany calling 345 kemp...45/19...42%...7/2 boyles

sky steps 405 wolv...49/16...32.6%...5/2 sj

 

no top rated v

 

pedro



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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pedro wrote:

after more research am including up to 12 declared runners on the aw...update of stats this evening

 

started well with another gamble landed but downhill all the way after no

 

clear top rated

 

letemgo 135 kemp...26/13...50%...4/1 bv...1st 3.35

king edmund 245 kemp...23/9...39.1%...5/1 bv...2nd btn sh...3.99

 

top rated with a 50%+ sr over 10 months

 

rockaroundtheclock...305 wolv...12/3...25%...10/1 bv...unp 15.87

alba verde 335 wolv...13/4...30.7%...7/4 boyles...unp 3.7

germany calling 345 kemp...45/19...42%...7/2 boyles...3rd 2.76

sky steps 405 wolv...49/16...32.6%...5/2 sj...unp 4

 

no top rated v

 

pedro

 



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pedro


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a dismal week with the first losing week recorded...bog with the bookie did better but still not enough...take it on the chin and hopefully back to winning ways in the upcoming week

 

week 5 stats

 

55 selects...11 won...20%...minus 19.4 pt at bfsp...no deduction

 

overall stats

 

260 selects...74 won...28.4%...plus 76.98 at bfsp...no deduction

 

fingers crossed for week 6

 

pedro



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pedro


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after several hours of reviewing recorded results it appears that our clear top rated are the ones to concentrate on...this suits me as am not a fan of too many selections...the stats for these so far read

 

188 selects...58 won...31%...plus 71 pt at bfsp...no deduction

 

in addition the top rated v when certain conditions are met look a decent bet...some of these are not recorded here but will continue to put these up as am confident they will be in profit over the longer term

 

nuff work done tonight so fingers crossed that effort = reward

 

pedro



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pedro


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todays lot

 

clear top rated

 

company secretary 1210 south...14/6...42.8%...15/8 sj

ya hafed 100 ling...30/11...36.6%...9/2 bv

amir pasha 220 south...84/27...32.1%...2/1 bv

brother scott 250 sedge...3/1...33.3 %...13/8 bv

 

no top rated v today

 

pedro



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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pedro wrote:

todays lot

 

a poor start to the week with 2 hitting the crossbar no

 

clear top rated

 

company secretary 1210 south...14/6...42.8%...15/8 sj...2nd nse 3.5

ya hafed 100 ling...30/11...36.6%...9/2 bv...unp 7.4

amir pasha 220 south...84/27...32.1%...2/1 bv...unp 3.86

brother scott 250 sedge...3/1...33.3 %...13/8 bv...2nd 3.2...1.15 ir

 

no top rated v today

 

pedro

 



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pedro


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a couple off odds on shots today which will be no bets here

 

clear top rated

 

tresor de bonte 150 weth...128/46...35.9%...9/4 bv

promised wings 210 font...36/12...33.3%...9/4 bv

american life 245 font...2/1...50%...1/2 bv

smiles for miles 300 weth...52/18...34.6%...8/11 bv

 

pedro

 



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when the going gets tough as it sometimes will...rest if you must but never give up
pedro


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pedro wrote:

a couple off odds on shots today which will be no bets here

 seconditis again and how promised wings finished 2nd is a great tribute to the jockeys skills as looked to have no chance for most of the race

clear top rated

 

tresor de bonte 150 weth...128/46...35.9%...9/4 bv...2nd 4.4

promised wings 210 font...36/12...33.3%...9/4 bv...2nd 4.1

american life 245 font...2/1...50%...1/2 bv...2nd 1.61

smiles for miles 300 weth...52/18...34.6%...8/11 bv...1st 1.87

 

pedro

 

 



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pedro


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busy today

 

clear top rated

 

itoldyou...100 newb...67/22...32.8%...7/2 bv

somchine...145 taunt...2/0...0%...7/2 365

cloudy spirit...220 taunt...1/0...0%...evens bv

rouquine sauvage...230 taunt...13/5...38.4%...5/4 boyles

floral spinner...255 taunt...10/4...40%...9/2 365

daneking...315 newb...70/24...34.2%...9/2 bv

quantum dot...355 kemp...33/12...36.3%...9/4 boyles

plucky dip...725 kemp...3/0...0%...2/1 tote

 

no top rated v

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Thursday 27th of November 2014 10:05:24 AM

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