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Annie


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RE: and yet another trial
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WOW...7 / 9 WINNERS !  biggrin

I decided only to do Nigel as a bet and got 4.60-- 8 in running didnt match...happy enough with that..but how close was this..

 did 8 horse acca with the rest at e/w 8s and 7s..I had to leave one out so left out the last Larghetto  no

soooooooooo  close to getting the 7 winners..as it was  6 and a place paid for the bet

well done Pedro...a good day biggrin



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pedro


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pedro wrote:

another busy day with a few looking short nuff

 

well done annie and yes what a case of firstitis today...prices a tad short but a super day nonetheless biggrin...probably update stats later

 

clear top rated

no through road 1230 south...no stats...11/8 coral...1st 2.22

oriental splendour 215 kemp...18/6...33.3%...7/2 bv...2nd dh 4.11

spanish fleet 225 carl...8/4...50%...4/5 paddyp...1st 1.5

holiday magic 250 kemp...8/2...25%...9/4 bv...1st 2.82

shouldavboughtgold 330 carl...no stats...5/2 coral...1st 3.93

definitely better 340 south...2/0...0%...6/5 sj...1st 1.93

nigels destiny 420 kemp...14/3...21%...4/1 boyles...1st 3.10...gamble landed

larghetto 550 kemp...31/9...29%...5/2...1st 3.94

 

top rated 50% over 10 months

panatella 520 kemp...41/9...21.9%...5/2 bv...unplaced 3.59

 

 

pedro

 

 



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pedro


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update of stats since last update

 

52 selections...19 won...36.5%

lsp at bfsp...no deduction...plus 26.73 pt

 

after 3 weeks trial

142 selections...47 won...33.09%

lsp at bfsp...no deduction...plus 88.20

 

very nice indeed...fingers crossed for more of that biggrin

 

pedro



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pedro


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busy again

 

clear top rated

 

camptown lady 1240 hunt...30/13...43.3%...11/4 bv

tothemoonandback 110 hunt...ns...13/8 sj

gizzit 130 ling...ns...9/4 boyles

distime 150 sedge...ns...7/4 skyb

tealissio 230 ling...2/0...0%...11/4 bv

accordingtoscript 250 sedge...34/14...41.1%...2/1 365

vikekhal 300 ling...ns...2/1 pp

roja dove 310 hunt...12/7...58.3%...6/1 skyb

milan royale 320 sedge...ns...7/4 bv

bebinn 330 ling...ns...6/1 365

 

possible top rated v

 

kayf moss 210 hunt

a tail of intrigue 240 hunt

 

pedro



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pedro wrote:

busy again

 

a poo day here too no

 

clear top rated

 

camptown lady 1240 hunt...30/13...43.3%...11/4 bv...2nd 6.8

tothemoonandback 110 hunt...ns...13/8 sj...1st 3.80

gizzit 130 ling...ns...9/4 boyles...2nd 3.29

distime 150 sedge...ns...7/4 skyb...1st 3.74

tealissio 230 ling...2/0...0%...11/4 bv...2nd 2.90

accordingtoscript 250 sedge...34/14...41.1%...2/1 365...unplaced

vikekhal 300 ling...ns...2/1 pp...3rd 2.6

roja dove 310 hunt...12/7...58.3%...6/1 skyb...unplaced 5.8

milan royale 320 sedge...ns...7/4 bv...unseated rider

bebinn 330 ling...ns...6/1 365...pulled up

 

possible top rated v

 

kayf moss 210 hunt...unplaced

a tail of intrigue 240 hunt...unplaced

 

pedro

 



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no aw ratings up yet...will post later

clear top rated

 

doubledisdoubledat 150 ayr...4/1...25%...9/4 365

biggar 220 ayr...13/5...38.4%...13/2 wh

balbriggan 250 ayr...ns...2/1 bv

 

possible top rated v

 

dursey sound 200 bang

el macca 300 bang

 

pedro



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pedro wrote:

 

clear top rated

 

doubledisdoubledat 150 ayr...4/1...25%...9/4 365

biggar 220 ayr...13/5...38.4%...13/2 wh

balbriggan 250 ayr...ns...2/1 bv

mcbirney 750 kemp...3/0...0%...2/1 365

 

possible top rated v...am playing these to half a point if between 10 and 25 bfsp at the off

 

dursey sound 200 bang

el macca 300 bang

 

pedro

 



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Annie


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Pedro..those stats the other day..are they for all  selections put up or clear rated only ?- 



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pedro


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hi annie...sorry for the late reply as have been offline all day...they are for all selections

 

pedro



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pedro wrote:
pedro wrote:

 

clear top rated

2 poo days on the trot...fingers crossed for a turnaround tomorrow

 

doubledisdoubledat 150 ayr...4/1...25%...9/4 365...unplaced 3.53

biggar 220 ayr...13/5...38.4%...13/2 wh...unplaced 4.4

balbriggan 250 ayr...ns...2/1 bv...non runner

mcbirney 750 kemp...3/0...0%...2/1 365...unplaced 2.69

 

possible top rated v...am playing these to half a point if between 10 and 25 bfsp at the off

 

dursey sound 200 bang...unplaced

el macca 300 bang...unplaced

 

pedro

 

 



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pedro


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busy again...fingers crossed

 

clear top rated

cloudy start 140 taunt...4/1...25%...5/1 bv

de blacksmith 210 taunt...no stats...7/1 365

toto skyllacy 250 south...13/3...23%...7/4 wh

goal 310 taunt...7/4...57.1%...10/1 bv

mount vesuvius 330 ludl...36/15...41.6%...6/1 bv

kings apollo 340 taunt...no stats...9/4 skyb

poyle vinnie 350 south...14/5...35.7%...2/1 bv

spring loaded 550 kemp...0/0...5/2 365

 

50%+ over past 10 months

 

persepolis 650 kemp...35/11...31.4%...3/1 coral

diamonds a dancing 750 kemp...42/11...26.1% 3/1 bv

 

possible top rated v

 

dreamsoftheatre 200 ludl

kuda huraa 300 ludl

chetan 450 kemp

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Thursday 13th of November 2014 10:18:59 AM

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pedro


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pedro wrote:

busy again...fingers crossed

 

a small profit today but could have been so much better no

 

clear top rated

cloudy start 140 taunt...4/1...25%...5/1 bv...1st 6.2

de blacksmith 210 taunt...no stats...7/1 365...unp 8.4

toto skyllacy 250 south...13/3...23%...7/4 wh...2nd 4.4

goal 310 taunt...7/4...57.1%...10/1 bv...2nd 14.3

mount vesuvius 330 ludl...36/15...41.6%...6/1 bv...unp 16.56

kings apollo 340 taunt...no stats...9/4 skyb...unp 4

poyle vinnie 350 south...14/5...35.7%...2/1 bv...1st 2.13...gamble landed

spring loaded 550 kemp...0/0...5/2 365...2nd 4.15

 

50%+ over past 10 months

 

persepolis 650 kemp...35/11...31.4%...3/1 coral...1st 3.08...gamble landed

diamonds a dancing 750 kemp...42/11...26.1% 3/1 bv...unp 3.63

 

possible top rated v

 

dreamsoftheatre 200 ludl...no bet

kuda huraa 300 ludl...no bet

chetan 450 kemp...2nd 19.27...btn nse...1.1 ir no

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Thursday 13th of November 2014 10:18:59 AM

 



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pedro


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here we go again

 

clear top rated

 

swing hard 140 nc...no stats...11/2 skyb

heisman 205 ling...4/1...25%...5/4 bv

maggie blue 215 nc...1/1...100%...6/4 lads

high tone 600 wolv...89/25...28%...10/3 bv

 

50%+ sr over 10 months

 

easy tiger 1155 ling...12/3...25%...2/1 bv

wrood 130 ling...18/6...33%...9/4 bv

multitask 240 ling...32/8...25%...9/2 skyb

low cut affair 500 wolv...11/3...27.2%...7/1 coral

solidarity 700 wolv...40/12...30%...9/2 skyb

 

possible top rated v

 

mister grez 115 chel

next sensation 150 chelt

very first blade 630 wolv

 

pedro



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pedro wrote:

here we go again

 

ok today with an almighty gamble landed in the last...a dead heat resulted in a paltry payout off 1.27 on one...roy would not be pleased with that lol...yet to fire this week but i can feel it coming in the air tonight lol biggrin

 

clear top rated

 

swing hard 140 nc...no stats...11/2 skyb...pu 5.9

heisman 205 ling...4/1...25%...5/4 bv...1st 1.93...gamble landed

maggie blue 215 nc...1/1...100%...6/4 lads...non runner

high tone 600 wolv...89/25...28%...10/3 bv...unplaced 3.29

 

50%+ sr over 10 months

 

easy tiger 1155 ling...12/3...25%...2/1 bv...1st 2.86

wrood 130 ling...18/6...33%...9/4 bv...1st dh 2.55...1.27 returned on bf

multitask 240 ling...32/8...25%...9/2 skyb...unplaced 3.46

low cut affair 500 wolv...11/3...27.2%...7/1 coral...3rd 17.32

solidarity 700 wolv...40/12...30%...9/2 skyb...1st 2.82...huge gamble landed

 

possible top rated v

 

mister grez 115 chel...no bet

next sensation 150 chelt...unplaced 13.15

very first blade 630 wolv...no bet

 

pedro

 



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pedro


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a true trial today with a whopping 15 plays and some fancy prices on offer...chase stats are now available...fingers crossed

 

clear top rated

honey pound 1240 chelt...30/6...20%...28/1 sj

pay the king 130 weth...0/0...8/1 bv

sam winner...150 chelt...337/85...25.2%...8/1 bv

shouldavboughtgold 205 weth...55/24...43.6%...11/4 bv

clara peggotty 215 uttox...21/10...47.6%...9/1 lads

champion court 230 chelt...273/66...24.1%...28/1 bv

vivaldi collonges 300 chelt...24/7...29.1%...7/1 bv

master red 315 weth...5/3...60%...10/1 bv

hollywoods all star...325 uttox...16/8...50%...7/1 bv

innoko 345 ling...21/7...33%...10/3 wh

dynamo walt 545 wolv...38/10...26%...9/2 sj

son of africa 615 wolv...1/0...0%...11/4 sj

winter queen 745 wolv...1/0...0%...6/5 bv

company secretary 915 wolv...79/22...28.2%...9/1 wolv

 

top rated 50%+ over 10 months

 

big bazz 125 ling...23/8...34.7%...5/2 bv

 

 

fingers crossed

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 15th of November 2014 11:36:01 AM

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pedro


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some thoughts from my friend mark at the actuary ratings about how this game goes at times

 

Biting Bullets stops biting nails

 
Biting%2BBullets%2B13-2.PNG
Today marks the end of a busy and so far fruitless week. When you are busy and winning, the impetus takes care of itself but when you seem to be continually hitting the post you do get a little punch-drunk. In among the all too infrequent winners we have amassed, in no particular order 2nd 11-4, 3rd 12-1, 2nd 13-2, 3rd 5-2, 2nd 2-1, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-2, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-1, 2nd 5-1 and 3rd 9-4.
 
 
When Wrood (opened 10-3) dead-heated in Lingfield Parks 1:30 my frustration was reaching boiling point. The late withdraw of 3 point selection Royal Trooper simply added to my feeling of misery!
 
Step up Biting Bullets (opened 13-2) in Wolverhampton’s 4:30. Not only did the win give a small profit on the day, the change in my demeanour was instant and the kids and wife could stop trembling in their shoes each time they spoke to me (joke).
 
After a prolonged winning period stretching back to the end of August bad periods are so much harder to take and as damaging as a bad couple of days is to how you approach the next day psychologically, you have to put bad days in to the perspective of winnings days versus losing days.
 


There is always the likelihood that today is the day that accounts for any small losses ;)

 

 



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pedro


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pedro wrote:

a true trial today with a whopping 15 plays and some fancy prices on offer...chase stats are now available...fingers crossed

 

with one to run am posting up early as am feeling tired...always a nervous day for me with so many choices on offer...am not at all comfortable with it...having said that it has done me no harm so far with betting banks boasting four times their balance in less than a month...would really like to tighten things up here but need at least another months results and maybe more...a good day nonetheless and fingers crossed for many more biggrin

 

clear top rated

honey pound 1240 chelt...30/6...20%...28/1 sj...unp 34.34

pay the king 130 weth...0/0...8/1 bv...unp...9.95

sam winner...150 chelt...337/85...25.2%...8/1 bv...1st 9.4

shouldavboughtgold 205 weth...55/24...43.6%...11/4 bv...unp 7.4

clara peggotty 215 uttox...21/10...47.6%...9/1 lads...fell 16.68

champion court 230 chelt...273/66...24.1%...28/1 bv...unp 25

vivaldi collonges 300 chelt...24/7...29.1%...7/1 bv...unp 5.3

master red 315 weth...5/3...60%...10/1 bv...fell 13.89

hollywoods all star...325 uttox...16/8...50%...7/1 bv...3rd 4.6

innoko 345 ling...21/7...33%...10/3 wh...unp 2.64

dynamo walt 545 wolv...38/10...26%...9/2 sj...1st 5.00

son of africa 615 wolv...1/0...0%...11/4 sj...unp 6.20

winter queen 745 wolv...1/0...0%...6/5 bv...1st 3.10

company secretary 915 wolv...79/22...28.2%...9/1 wolv...to run

 

top rated 50%+ over 10 months

 

big bazz 125 ling...23/8...34.7%...5/2 bv...1st 3.79

 

 

fingers crossed

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 15th of November 2014 11:36:01 AM

 



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 15th of November 2014 09:03:01 PM

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pedro


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unlucky with our last select yesterday...just held at 1.12 in running no

 

clear top rated

 

kings lad 225 font...45/18...40%...5/1 bv

lord of the house 255 font...0/0...13/2 bv

goochypoochyprader 400 font...1/0...0%...4/1 bv

 

top rated that have a 50%+ strike rate over 10 months

 

howlongisafoot 100 chelt...1/0...0%...6/1 bv

 

possible top rated v

 

gardelavictoire 315 chelt

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Sunday 16th of November 2014 09:51:54 AM

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nice to see mark is in better spirits today

 

Like buses all our winners come along together

 

 

 

Suitsus%2B4-5.PNG

 

Well, that was so much better and like buses all our winners come along together. We may have started Saturday with a feeling of de ja vu as a horse I felt very bullish about, Sexy Secret (opened 5-1) finished 2nd in Lingfield Parks 12:20.

 

 

 

Big%2BBaz%2B11-4.PNGAfter being backed down to an SP of 2-1, Sexy Secret turned for home looking very much like the winner only to be worn down by the deposed favourite Steventon Star. Any anxiety for the day ahead was irradiated as 3 point selection Suitsus (opened 4-5), Big Baz (opened 11-4) Intransigent (opened 7-2) and Battalion (opened 6-1) took top prize in the 12:50, 1:25, 2:00 and 2:35 respectively.

 

 

 

Intransigent%2B7-2.PNGNo sexy prices but I did feel like it added some respectability to what was a trying week. Even in defeat we were given glimmers of hope by our other selec

tions as Dark Side Dream (8-1) and Dianora (11-4) both looked like they had slipped there fields only to be collared late on.

 

 

Battalion%2B6-1.PNGA quieter week lies ahead with only 9 meetings and we reconvene here at 2:10 on Monday where Clive Cox Mikandy takes on Gay Kelleway New Abbey Dancer, with the former most likely to appreciate the step up in trip on breeding and add to the 3o% three from his last 10 runners for Cox.

 



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another possible top rated v

 

seven woods 150 font



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pedro


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pedro wrote:

unlucky with our last select yesterday...just held at 1.12 in running no

 

another very good day with a top rated v doing the business...this is the 3rd winner for these over the month from a handful of selections...the other 2 are not recorded in the p/l as clocked it as i was going along...fingers crossed for more of these

 

clear top rated

 

kings lad 225 font...45/18...40%...5/1 bv...1st 5.80

lord of the house 255 font...0/0...13/2 bv...unplaced 9.83

goochypoochyprader 400 font...1/0...0%...4/1 bv...unplaced 7

 

top rated that have a 50%+ strike rate over 10 months

 

howlongisafoot 100 chelt...1/0...0%...6/1 bv...unplaced 8.89

 

possible top rated v

 

gardelavictoire 315 chelt...1st 13.8...almighty gamble on bet fair just before the off

seven woods 150 font...2nd 9...no bet...too short

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Sunday 16th of November 2014 09:51:54 AM

 



-- Edited by pedro on Monday 17th of November 2014 05:56:16 AM

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another very early observation for those who like to be a bit more selective in there choices...since basing past strike rate over the past 3 months only... those with a 33%+ history has produced

 

34 selects...14 won...41.1%...lsp of + 27.94 at bfsp...no deduction

 

back with todays lot after the school run

pedro



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todays lot

 

clear top rated

kings apollo 145 leic...56/23...41%...6/1 skyb

spartilla 300 plum...46/16...34.7%...9/2 bv

little jimmy 320 leic...3/1...33%...9/4 bv

little boy boru 330 plum...29/12...41.3%...2/1 coral

sioux chieftan 540 wolv...58/16...27.5%...9/4 bv

 

top rated with a better than 50% sr over 10 months

dreese 440 wolv...34/14...41.1%...4/1 bv

 

possible top rated v if 10 to 25 bfsp

 

dormouse 220 leic

lady bingo 310 wolv

 

pedro

 



-- Edited by pedro on Monday 17th of November 2014 09:31:42 AM

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Annie


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morning Pedro

I've missed a few days with computer problems- hope all ok with it now

I see you've had a couple of days best forgotten but overall seems to still be going well biggrin

another query..with the 33%+ stats, some selections you put up have no % - have you disregarded those in the totals ?

good luck today.biggrin



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pedro


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morning annie

 

sorry to here of your computer problems...always good to have a back up if you can...yes not been the best of weeks but still 12pt up since last update and just over 100pt up with 4 weeks trial finishing today...will update the stats this evening

 

yes the 33%+ are just that...all the selects that have run since changing from a 10 month history to a 3 month history

the chase stats were not available till last saturday so there are plenty no stats winners that may have brought that strike rate up or down

we have all stats now available so hopefull we will be able to look back in a couple months and use them to our advantage

 

fingers crossed

pedro



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