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Post Info TOPIC: a trial


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a trial
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going to run a little trial here that i have been testing for one week only...a 35 point profit at bfsp in week one...thats nice but will it be a long term profit producer ???...from experiance i know it will be easier said than done but lets trial it here

the method is based on market drifters with week one producing 41 qualifiers with 12 winners (29.2%)  lsp +35.28

will put up any qualifiers near post time with a price...if the selection meets or exceeds that price at the off then it is a play

there will be 2 posts a day...one for the days meetings and one for any evening meetings

stay tuned and wish me luck

 

pedro



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WISH YOU LUCK

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Good luck amigo aww



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back from shopping later than expected so will need at least 3 posts today

 

hillstar 150 newb @ 4.3 or better...1st...no bet



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 20th of September 2014 01:54:59 PM

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the rest

 

newb

 

jungle cat 220 @ 4.8 or better...no bet

take cover 330 @ 7.2...no bet

 

ayr

 

sky hunter 315 @ 3.00...1st 3.63

 

newm

 

secret brief 340 @ 7.4...no bet...1st

teak 415 @ 8.8...non runner

asyad 525 @ 5.3...lost

rewaaya 525 @ 8...no bet...1st

 

catt

 

fast charlie 245 @ 6...lost

scrafton 320 @ 4.5...1st 5.30

 

list

 

rays creek 420 @ 2...no bet

 

back for the evening meeting

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 20th of September 2014 05:49:51 PM

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a decent day with results updated in the am...here are tonights potential plays

 

wolvs

 

chapellerie 620 @ 5.9 or better...no bet

picture postcard 650 @ 9...lost

southern crosy 720 @ 8...lost

indelible ink 750 @ 5.8...no bet

classic villager 750 @ 9.6...lost

night party 820 @ 7.8...lost

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Saturday 20th of September 2014 09:04:43 PM

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a mixed day with 8pt staked with 8.93 returned

 

lsp = + .93

 

back tomorrow

pedro



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sundays potential plays

 

hamilton

 

remember rocky 420...@ 3.95 or better...no bet

arizona john 450...@ 6.4...lost

mandy layla 520...@ 6.2...no bet

 

plumpton

 

russian bolero 230...@ 3.25...no bet  1st

hinton indiana 330...@ 3.15...lost

springinherstep 400...@ 6.8...lost

saint helena 530...@ 4...non runner

 

uttoxeter

 

kilfnichen bay 240...3.05...1st  3.75

 

- 1/4 point on the day

 

running total...+.68...no commission deducted



-- Edited by pedro on Monday 22nd of September 2014 06:06:09 AM

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just in and back in a bit

 

hard and sharp 150...@ 2.28 or better



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here is todays complete list...have done some backchecking on the method and will update asap but no time at the moment

 

kemp

forra blacky 210...@ 4.3...lost

entity 410...@ 4.3...no bet

polybius 440...@ 5.2...no bet 1st

tucson arizona 510...@ 6.8...lost

matravers 540...@ 3.74...no bet

messila star 540...@ 4.80...lost

 

ham

hard n sharp 150...@ 2.28...1st...3.00

alexandrakillontai 350...@ 3.5...1st 3.95

blue sonic 520...@ 3.95...lost

 

leic

moshe 230...@ 3...no bet 1st

fox trotter 300...@ 2.76...lost

crown pleasure 330...@6.93...lost

smart daisy 400...@ 4.3...no bet

 

 



-- Edited by pedro on Monday 22nd of September 2014 05:59:47 PM

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Couple of those up already Pedro..biggrin

Good Luck with this trial , will be watching with interest

Annie



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only 1.63 pt profit after 3 days of trial and thats without commision...my first weeks trial being plus 35 pt gave me courage to trial this publicaly to a few of you on here...have had some time to backcheck another 75 plays with the results a bit tame with only a 2 pt profit on these plays but overall a 38 pt profit is still good...will be going back further in the near future and hopefully the results will be worth the time and effort...if not it will be back to the drawing board but am hopeful this will not be the case...they are also many possible tweaks to the method but we will stick with it and see how it goes for the time being

 

pedro

 

ps...cheers annie biggrin



-- Edited by pedro on Monday 22nd of September 2014 06:15:56 PM

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Not bad Pedro..!..profits profit and it's certainly been a tricky card at Kemp with all the 2yos

It's usually the way though as soon as you go public !...its a well known scientific fact ..its something to do with Jupiter being aligned to Mars

Best of luck for tomorrow  biggrin



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yes annie some of the best laid plans got t-ts up when going public no...have been hard at work here and have applied some tweaks and also simplify things a bit so there is no need to be on the pc for hours each day watching markets...it all looks grand on paper but we see how it goes in practice

 

ok here are the stats from my tweaking from sept 1

 

185 selects...i know this is mucho mucho

54 winners...29%

lsp at bfsp...plus 64 pts...no commission deducted

worst day recorded so far was minus 8.12 pt

best day recorded so far was plus 19.5 pt

there were 12 days where a profit was recorded...leaving 10 days where a loss was recorded

 

we will be backing all selections early at bfsp and crossing our fingers

 

back later with todays plays

 

pedro



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here we go...backing all to win at bfsp and recording finishing position to see how they hold up in the place market

 

nottingham

romance story 330

bahamian c 405

hurry home pappa 505

 

beverley

thorkhill star 210

aneedh 240

green door 345

amazing blue sky 515

 

lingfield

bnedel 250

spider lily 320

life jacket 530

 

newcastle

brisk 350

hollie point 520

 

ballinrobe

tarabiyn 235

seefood 540

 

pedro



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pedro wrote:

here we go...backing all to win at bfsp and recording finishing position to see how they hold up in the place market

 

nottingham

romance story 330...unp

bahamian c 405...unp

hurry home pappa 505...3rd

 

beverley

thorkhill star 210...unp

aneedh 240...1st 6.48

green door 345...2nd

amazing blue sky 515...3rd

 

lingfield

bnedel 250...1st 5.85

spider lily 320...unp

life jacket 530...unp

 

newcastle

brisk 350...1st 4.60...saw 340 in running to my stake on this one annie....yikes!!!!!!!

hollie point 520...seen dht on this one but finished 2nd no

 

ballinrobe

tarabiyn 235...1st 2.02

seefood 540...1st 2.05

 

a decent day with 7 pt profit recorded

14 pt staked...21 pt returned

 

lsp = +7 pt

 

pedro


 



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A good day Pedro..biggrin

Newcastle often good for in runnings..note the following race to that recorded at 210...smile

good luck today



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thanx annie biggrin

 

redcar

second wave 215

the osteopath 325

 

perth

solway bay 335

crown theatre 410

high expectations 445

velator 515

tico 545

 

pedro



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was at the allergy clinic with my lovely lydia this afternoon and not back till 630 pm...here are the evening drifters albeit very late indeed

 

kemp

field game 550...1st 350

tinkers kiss 720...unp

cousin khee 820...unp

 

pedro



-- Edited by pedro on Wednesday 24th of September 2014 07:14:32 PM



-- Edited by pedro on Thursday 25th of September 2014 12:23:31 PM

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been hours going through the archives on these for august...still a few days to complete but it looks like we will struggle to be in profit for that month being only 8 pt up with 8 days to complete...such is the nature of this game and everything seems to run hot then cold...have access to the archives for the year so will have a much better picture as i get through them...but this will take a few weeks to complete no doubt

3.79 pt lost yesterday and here are todays plays...no doubt will be more later for the evening meeting

 

newmarket

dance of heroes 310

mubtaghaa 340

times up 415

remember 555

 

ponterfact

captain revelation 220

kellini 405

 

pedro



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tonight plays

 

kempton

paris carver 615

barchan 745

seldom seen 845

 

pedro



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a poo day here and have just discovered there are 2 years archives available...holding fire till more research is done

 

stay tuned

 

pedro



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after many hours of juggling things about am happy to proceed here...2 nice winners from 2 plays yesterday at 9 and 5.5 from 2 plays...will be much fewer selects and some no bet days...we see how it goes...back later

 

pedro



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no selection today no

 

pedro



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am coming to realize that with 2 years archives to review this looks like several months of research and developement...this is something i really enjoy and keeps me occupied when not much else to do which is hardly ever lol...holding fire in the betting department for now but have noted these for today

 

kebble 200nc

krazy paving 210 nott

scots fern 240 nott

abbotsfield 410 nc

 

pedro



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